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A revisit to ruin probabilities in the presence of heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks

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Publication date: Available online 4 February 2017
Source:Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
Author(s): Yiqing Chen, Zhongyi Yuan
Recently, Sun and Wei (2014) studied the finite-time ruin probability under a discrete-time insurance risk model, in which the one-period insurance and financial risks are assumed to be independent and identically distributed copies of a random pair ( X , Y ) . For the heavy-tailed case, under a restriction on the dependence structure of ( X , Y ) , they established an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability. In this paper we make an effort to remove this restriction as it excludes the cases with asymptotically dependent X and Y . We also extend the study to the infinite-time ruin probability. Employing a multivariate regular variation framework, we simplify the formula so that it shows in a transparent way how the ruin probabilities are affected by the tail dependence of ( X , Y ) .


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